人民币信贷对就业增长的效果研究——基于ECM的长短期弹性分析

Research to the Effect Renminbi Credit on Employment Growth——Analysis of Short and Long Term Elasticity on ECM

本文通过构建信贷与就业的误差修正模型(ECM),来研究人民币信贷对二、三产业就业的长、短期弹性。文章得出的结论是:第一、信贷对就业的短期拉动效果大于长期;第二、无论长短期,信贷对第三产业就业的拉动效果均大于第二产业。

The paper studies Renminbi credit on employment by establishing the ECM, and analyzes the short and long term elasticity of elastic analysis of Renminbi credit on the employmentinsecond and third cludes ： firstly, the short - term effect is bigger than the long - term of credit to the employment ; short -term and long term, the pulling effect to the employment third sector is greater than that sector. The article consecondly, regardless of to the second industry.