广东耕地面积变化与经济发展关系的初步研究

A PRELIMINARY STUDY ON CORRELATION OF CULTIVATED LAND AREA DECREASE, ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT AND POPULATION GROWTH IN GUANGDONG PROVINCE

本文选择ＧＤＰ增长率、人口增长率和耕地面积减少率为主要分析指标，详细讨论了１９７８～１９９６年广东省经济增长、人口增加和耕地面积减少之间的关系。研究发现，耕地面积大量减少现象的发生时间与经济的“过热”增长阶段基本同步，具体则受固定资产投资规模的牵动；认为经济增长是影响广东省耕地面积变化的主要宏观驱动因子。

The rates of GDP Growth, Population Growth and Cultivated Land Area Decrease were selected as the three main indicators for analyzing in this paper. The Correlation of Cultivated Land Area Decrease, Economic Development and Population Growth in Guangdong Province from 1978 to 1996 were discussed in detail as the major subject. Some new conclusions were drawn through this study:1)the phenomena of Cultivated Land Area decrease of Cultivated Land Area was impacted directly by the Investment in Foxed Assets;2)Ecnomic Growth was the major factor to drive Cultivated Land Area Decrease in Guangdong Province during the past 18years(1978～1996).