摘要
中国对不同国家(地区),特别是亚洲国家(地区)和西欧国家(地区)的贸易结构的差异很大,人民币汇率(双边)对贸易(双边)的影响也不相同。本文从分国别(地区)视角,通过建立面板数据模型,实证检验了人民币汇率(实际有效汇率)变动对中国同主要贸易伙伴之间贸易的影响。本文还选择分国别(地区)的初级产品和工业制品两种不同类型贸易数据,进一步揭示了汇率对不同国别(地区)不同贸易类型的影响。
Trade structures between China and its partners, especially Asian partners and Western partners, vary a lot, so bilateral trade effects of their corresponding RMB exchange rates are different too. In this paper, panel data models are used to empirically analyze the impacts of RMB exchange rate on trade between China and its major partners from a bilateral perspective. And also, with trade data divided into primary products and manufactures, this paper further explains the impacts of bilateral RMB exchange rate on different kinds of bilateral trade. Some meaningful results are got.
出处
《数量经济技术经济研究》
CSSCI
北大核心
2010年第4期34-47,共14页
Journal of Quantitative & Technological Economics
基金
中国社会科学院2007年度重点课题"人民币汇率变动的经济效应研究"(课题编号:YZDN)的阶段性成果
关键词
人民币汇率
贸易效应
面板数据模型
RMB Exchange Rate
Foreign Trade Effect
Panel Data Model