农村家庭能源消费的影响因素

Factors influencing rural household energy consumption

为研究中国农村家庭能源消费的影响因素,对江苏省涟水县农村家庭进行了入户调查。数据统计分析表明,与人均能耗相关程度较高的是家庭人口,且呈负相关;而生猪饲养头数、人均粮食收获量以及人均收入与人均能耗没有明显的相关性;人均电力消费与人均收入具有很强的相关性,商品能比例和人均有效热与人均收入均没有明显的相关关系。该研究通过非线性回归建立了家庭人均能耗与家庭人口模型,并选择三次函数Cubic进行拟合建立了人均电力消耗与人均收入的模型。为研究中国农村地区家庭能源消费基本特征、农村可再生能源资源的开发利用水平提供了依据。

To study factors influencing energy consumption of rural household in China,according to the analysis based on the investigation into the rural household energy consumption in Lianshui County,Jiangsu Province,there is a relatively high negative correlation between family population and per capita energy consumption. On the other hand,per capita energy consumption does not significantly correlate with hog population,per capita grain harvest or per capita income. Per capita electricity consumption is significantly correlated with per capita income. No evident correlation can be found between the proportion of commercial energy and per capita effective heat or per capita income. The model between per capita energy consumption and family population is established by non-linear regression. The model between per capita electricity consumption and per capita income is established by fitting the selected cubic functions. It provides data for studying household energy consumption features and exploiting recycling energy resources in China＇s rural areas.