飞行目标参数对高炮武器系统着发射击毁歼概率的影响

Influence of Flight Target Parameter on Impact Fire Kill Probability of AA Gun Weapon System

毁歼概率是决定系统效能的重要因素,采用二项式展开法和辛普森数值积分法,应用MATLAB软件构建了高炮武器系统着发射击毁歼概率模型。利用该模型首先确立有利射高及射击距离,然后选择典型航路参数作为整个有效射击空域的研究参数,最后在该航路上通过改变飞行目标运动速度和升降角,分析了其变化情况与毁歼概率的关系,得出:目标运动速度增大,不利于提高毁歼概率;对在航路捷径之前作上升飞行的目标射击,可明显提高毁歼概率。

Kill probability is an important factor to determine systematic efficiency.By use of Simpson＇s numerical value integral method and binomial expansion method,the model of impact fire kill probability of AA gun weapon system was constructed with the help of MATLAB software.Utilize this model to establish the favorable ceiling and shooting distance,and then choose typical parameter of air route as the research parameter in the whole effective shooting airspace.Through changing the movement speed of the target and the elevating angle on this air route,the relationship between its changing situation and kill probability was analyzed.The acquired conclusion showed that the increase of target moving speed is unfavorable to improve kill probability.Fired at the target in flight of rising angle before the shortcut of air route can obviously help to improve kill probability.