从美元本位制到双本位国际货币体系--全球金融失衡和动荡的根源

From Dollar-dominant Monetary System to Dual-based International Monetary System:The root of imbalance and turbulence of global finance

美元本位制使得美国经济走上了"去工业化"和"经济虚拟化"道路,导致了美国核心经济的转变,虚拟经济与泡沫经济的本质区别在于前者更加依赖金融杠杆,后者更加依赖价格泡沫,这为美国金融危机奠定了基础;美国核心经济恢复的基本条件是"自由化"的经济环境,但美国政府在危机中的强力干预破坏了这个环境,导致美元危机的风险正在逼近;而当代欧元的出现,则使得国际货币体系进入了类似"金银复本位"的"欧元—美元"双本位的国际货币体系。这是一种比金银复本位更加不稳定的国际货币体系,全球金融失衡和动荡根源于此。

Dollar-dominant international monetary system causes USA＇s economy deindustrialization and fictitiousness and makes the change of USA＇ s core economy. The difference between fictitious economy and bubble economy lies in that the first depens on leverage activity and the second depends on price bubble, which lays foundation for USA＇ s financial crisis. The recovery of USA＇ s core economy depends on free environment, but the government＇ s strong intervention during crisis destroys the free condion, which cause the dollar＇ s crisis emerge. The foundation of Euro makes international monetary system coming into dual-based, which is similar to gold-silver dual-based,but it is much more unstable,the root of global finance＇s imbalance and turbulence lies in this.