社会保障制度与经济增长——基于最优资本存量的分析

Explore the Path of China's Consumption Recovery under the Financial Crisis

动态效率是经济增长和资本积累的核心问题。论文基于Diamond模型,讨论了宏观经济最优资本存量的黄金律规则,并利用AMSZ准则分析了中国经济的动态效率,实证分析了社会保障制度与消费的关系以及我国消费对经济增长的拉动作用。认为在金融危机的大背景下,中国可以通过对社会保障制度的完善消除经济增长的动态无效和促进消费,进而使经济增长由过度依靠投资和出口转向依靠消费主导的模式上来。

dynamic efficiency is the key issue of economy growth and capital accumulation. This paper based on Diamond model, discussed the golden rule level of capital in macroeconomic. This paper also analyze the dynamic efficiency about economy growth in China by AM SZ criterion at the same time empirical analyze the promoting effect of consumption to economy growth. At last conclude that China could eliminate dynamic inefficiency by improving the social security system. Then make the economy growth model in which economy is most driven by investment and net-export to a model in which economy growth is mainly driven by consumption.