关于中国在缅军事基地的谣传

THE MYTH OF CHINESE MILITARY BASES IN MYANMAR

近15年来,涉及中国在缅军事基地的报道和论著源源不断。虽未获得证实,但中国对北印度洋的渗透的传闻已深刻影响缅甸邻国,尤其是印度的战略思维。安达曼海大椰子树岛的大型情报站和伊洛瓦底江三角洲海基岛海军基地的报告,已被作为缅甸沦为中国附属国的佐证。在其他观察家看来,这些基地的存在,明确显示就是中国在印度洋进行扩张的计划,甚至是它的全球野心。然而,印度政要于2005年承认,关于中国在大椰子树岛设置情报站的报告有假,并承认缅甸并无中国海军基地。因此彻底改变印度国防计划人员10多年来关注的两大焦点,导致人们怀疑有关缅甸存在其他"中国基地"的说法,进而引起对中缅关系现状及中国在北印度洋的战略利益的思考。

For more than 15 years, there has been a steady stream of newspaper stories, scholarly monographs and books that have referred to Chinese military bases in Myanmar. No hard evidence has ever been offered for the existence of such bases, but this apparent intrusion by China into the northern Indian Ocean has strongly influenced the strategic perceptions of Myanmar＇ s regional neighbom,s, notably India. Reports of a large intelligence collection station on Great Coco Island in the Andaman Sea, for example, and a naval base on Hainggyi Island in the Irrawaddy River delta, have been cited as evidence that Myanmar has become a client state of China. Other observers have seen the existence of such bases as proof of China＇ s expansionist designs in the Indian Ocean region, and even its global ambitions. In 2005, however, senior Indian officials conceded that reports of Chinese intelligence facilities on Great Coco Island were incorrect. At the same time, ne, they announced that there were no Chinese naval bases in Myanmar. This remarkable about-face, on two issues that had preoccupied Indian defence planners for more than a decade, must throw doubt on the claims of other ＇ Chinese bases＇ in Myanmar. It also raises questions about current analyses of China＇s relations with Myanmar, and China＇s strategic interests in the northern Indian Ocean.