广东各地区城镇居民的边际消费倾向差异

Difference of Marginal Propensity to Consume among Urban Residents in Guangdong Province

运用多阶模型方法研究了广东省18个国家调查样本市(县、区)的1600户城镇居民家庭消费的截面数据。研究结果表明,不同城市之间居民边际消费倾向存在显著差异,且消费倾向与地区人均可支配收入之间存在倒"U"型关系,这说明缩小地区间的收入差距能扩大广东消费总需求,带动经济增长,促进区域经济协调发展。

This paper explores 1600 households＇ consumer cross-section data, using the method of multilevel model, and the sampling data coming from 18 cities, or towns in Guangdong province, which are sampling marginal areas of the National Bureau of Statistics. The conclusions are that notable difference exists in propensity to consume among different Urban Residents, and there is an inverse ＂U＂ relationship between marginal propensity to consume and area per capita disposable income. Therefore, reducing the income gap will give rise to the increase of aggregate consumption, accelerate the economics growth and, consequently, promote the harmonious development of area economics in Guangdong.