经济学家的通货膨胀预期:理论与实证被引量：36

THE ECONOMIST'S INFLATION EXPECTATION:THEORY AND PRACTICE

下载PDF

导出

摘要本文主要研究我国经济学家通货膨胀预期的特点、决定因素、形成方式、通货膨胀预期和通货膨胀的关系。在以上研究的基础上,本文提出防止通货膨胀预期主要在于建立央行反对通货膨胀的"信任度"战略。 This paper aims to study the characteristics,the determining factors,and the formation of the economist＇s inflation expectations,and the relationship between inflation expectation and inflation.Based on the above discussion,this paper further proposes that the central bank＇s confidence strategy should be established to prevent the inflation expectation.

作者李永宁赵钧黄明皓

机构地区国家外汇管理局天津商业大学中国人民银行金融研究所

出处《经济理论与经济管理》 CSSCI 北大核心 2010年第4期25-32,共8页 Economic Theory and Business Management

关键词经济学家通货膨胀预期名义锚适应性预期 economist inflation＇s expectation nominal anchor adaptive expectation

分类号 F224 [经济管理—国民经济] F820.5 [经济管理—财政学]

引文网络
相关文献

参考文献8

1M. Forsells, G. Kenny. The Rationality of Consumer Inflation Expectations: Survey-Based Evidence for The Euro Area [J]. European Central Bank Working Paper, 2002, (163) .
2Kozo Ueda. Determinats of Household's Inflation Expectations [J]. IMES Discussion Paper Series, 2009, (3).
3Sylvain Leduc , Keith Sill, Tom Stark. Self-fuifilling Expectations and the Inflation of the 1970s: Evidence from the Livingston survey [J]. Journal of Monetary Economic, 2007, (54) .
4肖争艳,陈彦斌.中国通货膨胀预期研究:调查数据方法[J].金融研究,2004(11):1-18. 被引量：120
5肖争艳,唐寿宁,石冬.中国通货膨胀预期异质性研究[J].金融研究,2005(9):51-62. 被引量：48
6张蓓.我国居民通货膨胀预期的性质及对通货膨胀的影响[J].金融研究,2009(9):40-54. 被引量：90
7J. A. Carlson, J. M. Parkin. Inflation Expectation [J]. Economics, 1975, (42) .
8G. K. Shaw. Rational Expectation [J] . Bulletin of Economic Research, 1987, (39) .

二级参考文献39

1肖争艳,陈彦斌.中国通货膨胀预期研究:调查数据方法[J].金融研究,2004(11):1-18. 被引量：120
2李拉亚.预期与不确定性的关系分析[J].经济研究,1994,29(9):12-19. 被引量：21
3[澳]米契尔·卡特,罗得尼·马多克,《理性预期:八十年代的宏观经济学》,中国金融出版社,1988年第一版.
4Bank of England(2008),Why have measures of inflation expectation remained elevated? Inflation report, February 2008.
5Berk,J. M. , and Hebbink, G. E. , 2006,The anchoring of European inflation expectations, DNB Working Paper No 116/ 2006.
6Berk,J. M. , 2000, Consumer inflation expectations and monetary policy in Europe. DNB -Staff Reports, De Nederlandsche Bank.
7Bernanke, 2007,Inflation Expectations and Inflation Forecasting,At the Monetary Economics Workshop of the National Bureau of Economic Research Summer Institute, Cambridge, Massachusetts.
8Carlson, John A. and Parkin, M., 1975, Inflation expectations. "Economiea" 42, pp. 123-38.
9European Central Bank, 2006, Measures of inflation expectations in the euro area, Monthly Bulletin, July 2006.
10Evans,G. W. ,and Honkapohja, S. 2003, Adaptive Learning and Monetary Policy Design,working paper, University of Oregon and University of Helsinki/Bank of Finland.