季节性模型的建模及其应用

The Building of Seasonal Models and the Appliance of Them

主要讨论李节性模型的识别与建模步骤，并编制程序借助计算机进行参数估计与预报，以月平均气温为实例进行模拟建模，其结果较佳。

This paper disusses the steps of recognizing and building seasonal models,The author writes the programme to estimate parameter and forecast by computer,and uses monthly average atmospherictemperature as an example to have simulated practice.