摘要
本文采用计量经济学的协整分析和Granger因果关系检验法,对河北旅游经济发展与区域经济增长的关系进行了实证研究。实证结果表明:河北旅游收入与区域经济增长之间具有长期的均衡关系,并且两者互为格兰杰成因,但旅游收入与经济增长的相互促进作用存在一个相对滞后期。对此提出了相应的对策及建议。
this paper by means of co - integration analysis relationship between Hebei tourism and regional economic and Granger causality test method, analyzes the growth, the results show that there is a long term cointegration relationship between Hebei tourism income and regional economic growth, and they interact each other Granger causality, but the tourism revenues and regional economic growth do not have a direct role in promoting mutual impact, which has a relative lag. At last we put forward policy and advices based on the result of analysis.
出处
《河北学刊》
CSSCI
北大核心
2010年第3期224-227,共4页
Hebei Academic Journal
关键词
旅游经济
区域经济增长
GRANGER检验
协整检验
tourism economy
regional economic growth
Granger causality test
co - integration analysis
