陕西省旅游业与经济增长关系的实证研究

An empirical study of the relationgship between tourism and economic growth of Shanxi province

选取1991—2007年陕西省旅游业及经济增长的时间序列数据,借助Eviews软件,用Granger因果检验等方法对GDP与旅游业总收入两者之间的关系进行量化分析,建立了GDP与旅游业的向量自回归模型,得出了从长期来看陕西省旅游业与经济增长互为因果关系的结论,并提出了促进陕西省旅游业发展的政策建议。

The study used 1991--2007 time-series data of tourism and economics growth in Shanxi province,analyzed empirically the relationship between GDP and total tourism revenues with Eviews software.On the basis of establishment of Vector Autoregressive Model,it drawed a conclusion that there was causal relation between each other in a long run,meanwhile, this paper put forwards policies and suggestions which couht promote tourism development in Shaanxi Province.