国际收支失衡的政策调整机制

Policy Adjustment Mechanism of International Revenue and Expenditure Unbalance

我国国际收支"双顺差"的非均衡现象已经持续数年,这与传统均衡经济理论的初衷相违背。利用弹性分析法、货币分析法和结构分析法对贸易、货币存量和供求的非均衡事实进行解读,从解除贸易困境、增大对外投资和调整产业结构三个方面来建议政策调整,能够得出对国际收支失衡纠偏的方式必然是中国经济增长未来发展模式的结论。

The disequilibrium phenomenon of double surplus of the international payment balance has gone on for years in China.It operates against the traditional economic equilibrium theory.The paper explains the disequilibrium facts of trade,money stock and money supply and demand utilizing elasticity approach,monetary approach and structure analysis;proposes the policy adjustment from the aspects of getting out of difficult situation of trade,increasing external investment and adjusting the industrial structure and draws a conclusion that the method of changing international revenue and expenditure unbalance must be the future development model of economic growth in China.