出口对中国区域经济增长和产业结构转型的影响分析

The Impacts of Exports on Regional Economic Development and Industrial Restructuring in China

1978年改革开放以来,特别是加入WTO以后,中国对外贸易迅速增加,成为经济增长的主要动力之一。这不仅改变了中国在世界经济中的地位,也导致了中国区域经济格局的变化。在当前全球金融危机下,中国对外出口大幅度下降。因而,定量研究出口对中国区域经济增长和产业结构转变的作用,对理解金融危机的影响具有重要意义。本文运用投入产出表方法,计算了中国各省市区对欧、美、日的商品出口对各自产业增加值和产业结构升级的贡献程度。研究发现,对欧、美、日出口在中国区域经济增长和产业结构转型中起着越来越重要的角色,特别是沿海地区。

In the last two decades,especially since joining the World Trade Organization in 2002,China has witnessed a rapid growth in international trade of commodities,which is seen as a major driver to its economic growth.The rise of China as a major import export country,not only changes the world＇s economic geography,but also has significant impacts on its domestic economic geography.The European Union （EU）,USA and Japan are the largest trade partners of China,accounting for about half of China＇s import export in 2008.Given the economic difficulties faced by both China and others as a result of the current world-wide financial crisis,it is meaningful to examine the impacts of Chinese exports to the EU,USA and Japan on the development of both sides.In this paper,we will focus on such impacts on regional development in China.We try to compute the contribution of Sino-EU,Sino-USA and Sino-Japan exports to provincial GDP growth and industrial restructuring in China in terms of value-added.We find the exports to the EU,USA and Japan have major contributions to economic growth and industrial upgrading in some coastal provinces,e.g.Shanghai,Jiangsu and Guangdong.