我国东西部地区出口波动与经济波动的关系研究

Study on the Relationship between Export Fluctuation and Economic Fluctuation in Eastern and Western Areas of China

对我国东西部的出口波动与经济波动的关系进行了理论与实证分析后发现,它们的波形对应得很好,而且经过相关检验可知,出口波动是经济波动的原因。因此,如何从外贸体制及其出口市场管制等方面调整出口进而使得经济朝着均衡方向发展就变得非常有意义了。

This paper analyzes the relationship between export fluctuation and economic fluctuation in eastern and western areas of China from theoretical and practical aspects. It finds that the shapes of their waves are well paral- leled. Furthermore, based on some relevant verifications, the paper points that the export fluctuation is the cause of economic fluctuation. Hence, how to adjust the export from the aspects of system of foreign trade and control of export market and lead the economy to develop towards the balanced direction has become significant.