摘要
从影响维修器材数量的主要因素分析入手,在构建的防化维修器材需求量预测模型的基础上,以蒙特卡罗仿真方法对某防化装备某系统的维修器材消耗进行了预测。预测结果表明:该方法为准确预测防化装备维修器材消耗量提供了一种较为可行的科学方法。
Starting with the analysis main factors of affect the amount of maintenance material, create a prediction model of demand in chemical defense maintenance material, and then use the Monte-Carlo method to predict the consumption of chemical defense maintenance material. The result shows the method provide an accurate and rational method to predict consumption of chemical defense maintenance material.
出处
《兵工自动化》
2010年第4期54-57,共4页
Ordnance Industry Automation
关键词
蒙特卡罗法
防化装备
维修器材:消耗
预测
Monte-Carlo method
Chemical defense equipment
Maintenance material
Consumption
Prediction
