华东地区农业现代化水平的综合评价

Comprehensive Evaluation on the Level of Agricultural Modernization in Eastern China

首先,在正确理解农业现代化内涵和本质的基础上,遵循系统性、综合性、代表性、合理性和可比性的原则,根据华东地区实际和有关文献,依据《中国统计年鉴2008》相关数据,结合我国华东地区六省一市的社会发展实际,选取12个指标构建华东地区农业现代化评价指标体系。其次,按照现代科学决策规则,提出3个备选方案对比分析,并运用兼容度极大化法生成优化方案。结果表明,华东地区农业现代化水平可依次分为3类,第1类为上海,第2类为浙江、江苏、福建、山东,第3类为江西、安徽。评价结果符合华东地区农业发展实际。最后,由于华东地区在资金投入、农村人口教育、农业科技研发、农民培训教育、社会组织结构等方面仍存在不足,提出优化投资结构、加大科技的支持力度、完善"以工促农,以城带乡"机制的对策建议,以期加快华东地区农业现代化发展。

Based on correct understanding of the connotation and essence of agricultural modernization,according to the data in 2008 China Statistical Yearbook and the relevant literatures about eastern China,a total of 12 indices are selected to construct the evaluation index system of agricultural modernization in eastern China by combining with its social development and following the principles of systematization,comprehensiveness,representativeness,legitimacy and comparability.Then,according to the decision-making rules of modern science,3 alternatives are put forward and max compatibility degree method is used to generate the optimization solution.Result shows that agricultural modernization in eastern China can be classified into three types.The first type is Shanghai; the second type includes Zhejiang,Jiangsu,Fujian and Shandong; and the third type is Jiangxi and Anhui.The evaluation result is in accord with the actual situation of agricultural development in eastern China.Finally,since there still needs improvement in capital investment,rural education,agricultural science and technology research,peasant training,and social and organizational structure,it is pointed out that we should optimize the investment structure,increase support for science and technology,perfect the mechanism of ＂promoting agriculture development by industry and developing the township by the city＂,and accelerate the development of agricultural modernization in eastern China.