我国人力资本“双高型”四省域经济增长分析

The Analysis on the Economic Growth of "Two Heights" Regional Human Capital of Four provinces in China

本文通过对双高型区域广东、山东、江苏和浙江四个省区1996～2007区间的经济增长模型进行分析发现:(1)全要素生产率、物质资本存量、无差别劳动、一般人力资本和专业人力资本均与经济增长呈显著正相关关系。其中,物质资本存量对"双高型"区域经济增长的解释度依然最高,达到93.5%,表明其经济增长仍主要依靠物质资本投入拉动。(2)人力资本投资导致经济增长是必然的,同时经济增长又促进人力资本投资水平的进一步提高。(3)四个省区经济增长所表现出的共同特征是固定资产推动型的经济增长方式,显然尚未充分发挥人力资本对经济增长的贡献。迫切要求各省区,特别是人力资本丰富的"双高型"区域,充分发挥人力资本的优势,实现物质资本推动型经济向人力资本推动型经济转型。

By the economic growth model analysis of Guangdong, Shandong, Jiangsu and Zhejiang provinces in the ＂Two Heights＂ Human Capital Region in 1996-2007, this paper found out these three results as follows： （1） Total factor productivity, physical capital stock, undifferentiated labor, general and specialized human capital are all showed a significant positive correlation with economic growth In Guangdong, Shandong, Jiangsu and Zhejiang provinces of the ＂Two Heights＂ Human Capital Region. Among them, physical capital stock contributed to the regional economic growth is the highest which is reaching 93.5% , so its economic growth is still mainly rely on physical capital investment driven; （2） Human capital investment leads to economic growth is inevitable, while economic growth also promotes the level of human capital investment, so it is practical relational and urgent to transform the economic growth pattern across our country;（3） A common feature shown from the economic growth in these four provinces is fixed-driven economic growth pattern, and so these four provinces have apparently not yet give full play to human capital contribution to economic growth. And therefore all provinces especially in Two Heights＂ Human Capital Region should give full play to the advantages of human capital in order to achieve the transformation from fixed-driven economy to human capital-driven economic.