中国人口变动与经济增长

China' s Population Changes and Economic Growth

人口具有生产和消费的双重属性,因此人口变动与经济增长密切相关。考察中国改革开放以来的经济增长态势,以人口为中心系统地分析影响中国改革开放以来经济持续高速增长的主要因素。中国的人口变动主要从四个方面促进了改革开放以来经济持续的高速增长;如果没有其他突发性因素的冲击,单从人口变动因素来看,中国经济还可能再持续增长二十年。

The population has dual properties of production and consumption, so population changes and economic growth are closely related. The paper mainly studies the trend of economic growth since China＇s reform and opening up ; takes the population as the center to analyze the main influence factors of sustained high - speed economic growth since China＇s reform and opening up. It points out that China＇s population changes promote the high - speed economic growth mainly in four aspects since the reform and opening up; if there are no other sudden impacts, only considering population change, China＇s sustained economic growth could be kept for 20 years.