基于灰色关联度分析的旅游产业结构研究——以江西为例

Grey Correlation Analysis on the Structure of Tourism Industry——A Case Study on Jiangxi Province

旅游经济系统是一个由许多复杂因素组成的大系统,可以将其看作由旅游产业各部门因素构成的灰色系统。旅游产业结构的特征之一是关联性,关联性的强弱决定着旅游产业内部结构的聚合力,影响着产业结构整体效应的发挥。本文采用灰色关联分析法分析江西国际和国内旅游产业结构内部要素的关联性,发现国际的旅游收入和产业结构内部要素的关联度都较低,且娱乐部门影响力最低,制约了旅游整体发展;国内的旅游收入和产业结构内部要素的关联度虽高,但购物部门的旅游收入和关联度存在严重反差,因此笔者根据数据分析提出挖掘特色文化,提高娱乐和餐饮品位等产业结构优化意见。

Tourism Economic System is a large-scale system which is consisted of many complex factors.It can be regarded as the gray system,including various departments of the tourism industry.One characteristic of the structure of tourism industry is the relevance.The relevance determines the cohesiveness of the internal structure of the tourism industry;it can impact on the whole effect of industrial structure.In this paper,Author analyze the international and domestic structure of tourism industry through the gray correlation Analysis,found that the international tourism revenue and the correlation of the internal industrial structure is low,and the influence of the entertainment sector is the lowest,it constrains the overall development of tourism;Although domestic tourism revenue and the correlation of the internal industrial structure is high,the tourism revenue of the shopping sector is quite different to its correlation,according to the analysis,author gives some advise on the restructure of the Jiangxi tourism industry,such as grubbing the characteristics of cultural,improving the quality of the entertainment and restaurants.