摘要
现代工程项目决策技术复杂、涉及面广,存在大量的多属性多级风险决策问题。针对目前常用的层次分析法(AHP)理论讨论权重的不准确性和复杂性,本文采用了博弈论(Game)理论,建立层次分析博弈论矩阵分析模型,分析了NASH均衡的存在性,并编制相应的Mathcad程序;通过算例分析,验证了本文模型应用于工程项目方案决策的可行性。
The engineering project decision is very complicated and there are many risk decisions with multi-nature and multi-grade. According to the inaccuracy and complicate of weight discussion in Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP), game theory is applied and matrix model of AHP-game is built, the existence of NASH equilibrium is analyzed and Mathcad program is made; According to example analysis, the feasibility for AHP-Game model to project decision is verified.
出处
《价值工程》
2010年第10期90-91,共2页
Value Engineering
关键词
项目管理
风险决策
层次分析
博弈论
project manage
risk decision
analytic hierarchy process
game theory