预警理论方法及其应用研究

Early Warning Theories,Methods and its Applications

危机预警是一类带有大量不确定因素的半结构化问题或非结构化问题,通过对预警理论和技术进行研究,介绍了预警的数学理论基础,分析了常见的预警机制和方法,从政治、经济、军事、教育、医疗卫生和社会生活等方面对预警的应用研究做了介绍,并对预警理论和应用的发展做了展望。

Early warning for a crisis is a kind of semi-structured or unstructured problems with a large num- ber of uncertainties. Through researching on early warning theories and techniques, this paper describes the theoretical basis for early warning, analysis common early warning mechanisms and methods, presents early warning applications in the fields of the politics, economy, military, education, health and social life etc. , and looks into the future of early warning theories and it applications.