影响滨州冬枣价格变动的因素分析

Analysis on factors affecting price of Binzhou Dongzao jujube

通过分析冬枣市场价格变动趋势,根据供求理论,从生产成本、枣农的预期及政府政策的导向3个方面阐述了影响冬枣供给的因素,又从冬枣品质的下降、替代果品的出现及采购商讨价还价能力3个方面分析了影响冬枣需求的因素。研究发现,供给大于需求的局面逐渐产生,需求不足是影响冬枣价格的主要因素,进而提出尝试"冬枣树银行"种植模式、延长冬枣产业链、建立枣农合作组织来刺激需求,保障枣农权益。

By analyzing the price trend of Dongzao jujube （Zizyphus jujuba Mill. cv. Dongzao）, according to supply-demand theory, expounds the factors affecting the Jujube＇s supply via studying production cost, farmer＇s expectations and government policy, and expounds the factors affecting the Jujube＇s demand via studying decline of the Jujube＇s quality, the emergence of alternative fruits and the bargaining power of buyers. This study finds that over supply gradually emerges and weak demand is the major factor effecting the price of jujube, so this study tries to put forward ＂jujube tree bank＂ patterns, extending the jujube industrial chain, establishing farmer cooperatives to stimulate demand to protect their rights.