基于GM(1,1)的高校教学事故预测研究

Research on the Prediction of Teaching Accident in the Colleges Based on Gray Theory Prediction Model GM(1,1)

教学事故是一种破坏教学秩序、影响教学质量的违规行为。针对高校教学事故的预测问题,建立了灰色预测模型GM(1,1),对高校教学事故进行了定量预测。实例表明预测结果精度较高,为高校掌握教学事故发生规律,进而采取预防措施提供了理论依据。

Teaching accidents are Regulation violating behavior which undermine the teaching order and reduce the quality of teaching. According to the characteristics of the prediction of teaching accident, the gray prediction model GM （1,1） was established to carry out the quantitative prediction teaching accident in colleges. Example showed that the GM （1,1） is effective and higher accuracy for the teaching accident Prediction which provides a basis for the preventive measures.