我国对外贸易结构与产业结构的相关性分析

The Relationaship Between Trade Structure and Manufacture Industrial Structure

从对外贸易结构和产业结构的相关性入手,分析劳动密集型行业和资本密集型行业对外贸易结构和产业结构的长期和短期关系,并在此基础上就制造业各部门对外贸易结构和产业结构的相关性进行进一步分析。研究结果表明,我国对外贸易结构与产业结构相关性非常高,但资源密集型行业的相关性不高;对外贸易已经成为独立的经济活动,影响着我国国民经济的运行;部门之间对外贸易结构和产业结构存在交叉效应,该效应在资本密集型部门尤为显著;生产要素的国际流动(特别是FDI)和国内、外需求结构变化成为影响对外贸易结构和产业结构相关关系的重要因素。

This paper was an empirical examination of the correlation between the export trade structure and the industrial structure and between the import trade structure and the industrial. It studied the correlation of the labor-intensive and capital-intensive sectors in a long-term and short-term,and then studied each sector. The results show that trade structure are highly relevant to the industrial structure in labor-intensive and capital-intensive sectors but not in resource-intensive sectors,international trade had influenced the domestic economic remarkably,there are cross-effect between different sectors’ trade structure and industrial structure especially in capital-intensive sectors,and the relationship between trade structure and industrial structure is influenced by the FDI and the demand structure.