基于典型相关分析的流通产业与国民经济关联性研究

The Interrelations between Circulation Industry and National Economy Based on Canonical Correlation Analysis

流通产业是国民经济的重要组成部分。文章运用典型相关分析,对流通产业和国民经济其他产业的关联关系进行了实证研究。发现流通产业和国民经济其他产业之间存在密切的综合性的关联关系,其中以流通产业中的批发零售业的关联作用最强,而流通产业和第一产业的关联作用最弱。同时,流通产业对国民经济其他产业存在较强的拉动作用,流通产业GDP每增加1单位,可以使国民经济其他产业GDP增加0.1363单位。这些结论为发展流通产业提供了决策依据。

Circulation industry has already become an important part of national economy of China.By applying the method of canonical correlation analysis,this paper empirically studies the interrelations between circulation industry and the others of national economy of China.It is found that circulation industry has strong pulling effects on other industries of national economy,and an increase in GDP of circulation industry by 1% leads to an increase in GDP of national economy by 0.1363%.Moreover,the contribution of wholesale and retail industries is the highest.There is a least interrelation between primary industry and circulation industry.The result provides the decision-making basis for developing circulation industry.