珠江三角洲现代服务业全要素生产率研究

Study on Total Factor Productivity of Modern Service Industry of Pearl River Delta

文章利用Malmquist指数法对珠三角现代服务业TFP进行测算,从技术效率和技术进步两个方面考察2000-2008年TFP的增长来源和变化趋势,并对区内9个城市现代服务业TFP及其增长模式进行了比较分析,结果表明:(1)2000-2008年,珠三角现代服务业TFP年平均增长5.5%,技术进步增长在TFP增长中占主导作用,技术效率的贡献相对较小。(2)珠三角现代服务业增长已经摆脱了以要素投入为主的粗放型增长模式,其快速发展得益于要素使用效率的不断提高。(3)珠三角各城市现代服务业TFP及其增长模式差异明显:广州、深圳和中山现代服务业增长较快,对要素投入的依赖性较低,TFP增长快,对现代服务业经济增长贡献大;东莞和惠州现代服务业的快速增长完全依赖于要素投入的增长,技术效率和技术进步的共同恶化导致了TFP明显下降;珠海、佛山、江门和肇庆现代服务业增长较慢,由于要素使用效率低下,高投入并没有带来高增长。

Using malmquist index,the article measures total factor productivity(TFP) of modern service industry in the Pearl River Delta during 2000-2008.We analyze the source and trends of TFP growth from the technical efficiency and technological progress,and a comparative study is made to analyze the differences in TFP growth and growth mode among 9 cities.Conclusions are made as follows:(1) TFP of modern service industry of Pearl River Delta grew 5.1% annually mainly depending on technological progress during 2000-2008;(2) Rapid development of modern service industry in Pearl River Delta mainly benefited from high TFP growth rate;(3) Modern service industry of Guangzhou,Shenzhen and Zhongshan grew rapidly,less depending on the factor inputs,and TFP growth contributed greatly to economic growth;Dongguan and Huizhou were just on the contrary,and decrease of technical efficiency and technological progress led to decreasing TFP;Due to low TFP,modern service industry of Zhuhai,Foshan,Jiangmen and Zhaoqing grew slowly.