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世界原油市场运行规律的统计考量

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摘要 文章分别通过单一方程和联立方程估计方法,来研究世界原油市场运行的一般规律,结果发现,经济增长和产业结构是拉动原油消费需求的重要因素,而高油价和技术进步能够有效抑制原油消费需求的膨胀;原油消费需求是影响石油价格的重要因素,原油探明储量的提高有助于抑制国际市场原油价格高涨,而OECD库存水平和OPEC剩余产能对国际油价影响不显著性。
作者 刘叶 朱彤
出处 《统计与决策》 CSSCI 北大核心 2010年第9期77-80,共4页 Statistics & Decision
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参考文献13

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