生产者服务进口对中国就业效应的实证研究

An Empirical Study on the Effects of Producer Service Import on China's Employment

通过对生产者服务进口影响中国就业的效应进行实证研究发现,长期而言,生产者服务进口额每增加1%,服务业的就业将会增加0.24%,但对制造业就业并没有显著影响。其中,信息服务进口对服务业和制造业就业都没有显著影响;交通运输服务进口额每增加1%,制造业(服务业)的就业水平将会增长0.147%(0.275%);其他商业服务进口额每增加1%,服务业的就业水平将增加0.189%,但对制造业就业没有显著影响。短期而言,生产者服务进口对就业同时产生促进效应,但效应较小。政府应降低生产者服务进口壁垒以促进国内就业水平的提高。

Through the empirical study on effects of producer service import on China＇s employment,it is found that in the long term 1% increase on the amount of imports of producer service will bring about 0.24% increase on employment of service sectors,but has no significant effects on employment in manufacturing. Specifically,information service import has no significant effects on both service and manufacturing employment,1% increase on the amount of imports of transportation service will bring about 0.147%/ 0.275% increase on manufacturing / service employment,1% increase on the amount of imports of other commercial service will bring about 0.189% increase on employment of service sector,but has no significant effects on manufacturing. In the short term,import of producer service has stimulation effects on employment,but the effect is weak. The government should reduce import barrier on producer service to improve domestic employment.