生产性服务贸易对制造业国际竞争力的影响研究——基于中国的实证分析:1982—2008

On the Impact of Trade in Producer Service on the International Competitiveness of Manufacturing——Based an Vector Error Correction Model: 1982—2008

根据1982—2008年的数据,研究了生产性服务贸易进口对我国制造业国际竞争力的影响,进行了协整和格兰杰因果检验。结果表明生产性服务FD I、保险、商务服务进口提高了制造业国际竞争力,通讯服务进口抑制了制造业国际竞争力,且保险、通讯、商务服务进口、生产性服务FD I是制造业国际竞争力的格兰杰原因,因此扩大保险和商业服务开放度,吸引生产性服务FD I对提高中国制造业国际竞争力有重要意义。

This paper analyzes the impact of trade in producer service on the international competitiveness of China＇ s manufacturing industry from 1982 to 2008. It applies the Co-integration Test and Granger Causality Test. The results show that FDI of producer service, imports of insurance and business services promote the international competitiveness of the manufacturing industry; imports of communications services hinder the international competitiveness of the manufacturing industry. So it is important to expand openness of insurance and business services and attract FDI of producer service for the international competitiveness of the manufacturing sector.