泰国:2009年回顾与2010年展望

Thailand:Retrospect of Situation in 2009 and Prospect of Which in 2010

本文综述了2009年泰国的政治、经济、外交关系及其2010年经济发展预测。2009年,泰国的政治冲突仍没得到解决,围绕前总理他信问题展开的政治角力不仅造成泰国社会严重分裂,还引发了与邻国柬埔寨的外交纠纷,并冲击了泰国的安全与国际形象。国内政治问题加剧了世界金融危机对泰国经济的不利影响,2009年泰国国内生产总值负增长2.3%。2009年年底,泰国经济显示了较强的恢复信号,有望于2010年实现正增长。作为东盟轮值主席国,泰国政府竭力保证2009年在泰国举办的各种会议安全,并促进东盟及区域合作。

The paper summarizes the general political, economic and foreign relations of Thailand in the year of 2009 and its outlook in 2010. The political crisis in Thailand continuted over the year with Red-Shirt rural supporters of former Prime Minister Thaksin Shinawatra and pro-democracy activists protesting against Prime Minister Abhisit Vejjajiva＇s government including blocking the ASEAN Summit Conference at Pattaya, a coastal city of Thailand in April. The political uncertainty aggravated the impact of the global recession on Thai economy, which contracted by 2.3% in 2009. However, a sign of recovery has seen by the end of the year and economic growth is forecast to pick up in 2010. As ASEAN Chairman in 2009, Thai government tried to ensure the safety of the delegates of ASEAN Summit and promoted the regional cooperation.