基于Logistic模型的青海省农村人口城镇化水平的预测

Prediction of the urbanization level of rural population based on Logistic model in Qinghai province

通过分析青海省农村人口状况与城镇化发展的现状,用Logistic模型对青海省农村人口城镇化发展进行了测度与预测,反映出城乡人口替代过程的内在联系。

By analyzing the status of the rural population and the development of urbanization in Qinghai Province,the Logistic model was used to predict the development of urbanization.The ress reflected the link of replacement between urban and rural population.