摘要
本文在考虑了第四次人口普查和第五次人口普查的调查时点差异后,采用列克西斯图图示法,运用人口逆存活分析技术并结合对比分析方法,对第四次人口普查数据质量进行了重新评估。研究发现,"四普"0—9岁人口存在严重漏报,男女两性合计漏报人口1269万;10—18岁人口不仅存在漏报,也存在重报;男女分性别漏报人口之间也存在较大差异。
In this paper, we re-evaluated the data quality of the 1990 census by reverse survival analysis technique and comparative analysis with the help of the Lexis Diagram based on the difference of reference date between the 1990 and the 2000 census. We found that there are serious underreporting in the 0-9 age groups in the 1990 census, the total population undercounted for both males and females is 12.69 million. There are not only underreporting but also overcounting in the 10-18 age groups, there is also a big difference between males and females for the undercounted population.
出处
《西北人口》
CSSCI
2010年第3期37-41,46,共6页
Northwest Population Journal
基金
国家软科学研究计划项目(2008GXS5B103)
国家社会科学基金项目(09XSH005)研究成果
关键词
四普
五普
逆存活分析
漏报
the 1990 census
the 2000 census
reverse survival analysis
underreporting
