上海现代服务业的产业关联效应研究

Research on the Correlation Effects of Shanghai Modern Service Industry

随着新经济的兴起,现代服务业将适应新的形势向纵深发展,成为推动经济发展的基础性力量。在金融危机冲击下,优先发展生产性服务业已经成为上海产业结构升级的内在要求和必然趋势,也是上海建设国际大都市和加快推进"四个中心"建设目标的战略选择。本文深入研究了上海现代服务业的技术经济联系和结构素质特征,探讨了上海现代服务业的后向关联效应和前向关联效应,从实证的角度展示了上海现代服务业在经济结构中的地位和作用。根据目前上海产业发展目标和定位,上海要准确把握全球化、信息化条件下服务经济发展的新趋势,大力发展现代服务经济,着力在金融、航运、贸易及生产性服务中寻找新突破,不断拓展服务业新领域,提升服务业辐射功能,发展高端型、总部型、离岸型的现代服务业。

With the rise of the new economy,the modern service industry will adapt to the new situation developing in depth,and becomes the basic efforts for the economic development. In the financial crisis,the priority development of producer services has become an inherent requirement of Shanghai Industrial Structure and the inexorable trend of building Shanghai international metropolis,and the strategic choice of speeding up the ＂four cores＂ building objectives. The paper lucubrates the linkages between the technical and economic and their structural quality characteristics of modern service industry in Shanghai,and probe into the post-correlation effects and the pre-association effect of the modern service industry in Shanghai,then shows the structure status in economic and function of the modern service industry in Shanghai from an empirical point of view. According to the development objectives and orientation of Shanghai＇s industrial,Shanghai should accurately grasp the new trend under the globalization of information services and the economic development,then focus on the new breakthroughs of financial,shipping,trade and production services,and continuously expand new service areas,enhance the service function of radiation,and develop the high-end model,the headquarters-based,offshore type of modern service industry.