关于供应链应急事件的发生机理研究

Research on the Mechanism of Disruption in Supply Chain

为了探究供应链系统中应急事件发生的机理,本文应用非线性动力学中研究流体同步的方法,建立了供应商和零售商在多周期销售中运作协调的动态模型。该模型从定量的角度描述了供应商和零售商从运作协调到发生应急事件的全过程,并给出了应急事件持续时间的求解方法。

For exploring the mechanism of disruption in supply chain,this paper applies the method which was investigated synchronization on the circle in the nonlinear dynamics,and builds a dynamic model of operation coordination about manufacturers and retailers multi-period sales.This model quantificationally describes the whole process from operation coordination to disruption,and gives the approach of the solution to duration of disruption in supply chain.