煤矿井下涌水量灰色灾变预测

Grey Disasterous Prediction of the Discharge of Water in Coal Mine

利用灰色灾变理论，对韩王矿历年矿井涌水量资料进行了分析、整理．建立了煤矿井下涌水量灰色灾变时间预测模型，并对矿井灾害涌水量发生时间进行了预测．预测精度较高，结果符合实际要求，为煤矿井下水害防治提供了一种有效的方法．

The authors have analyzed and sored out the discharge of water of mining pit in Hanwang coal mine over years, set up the mode of grey disasterous prediction of the discharge of water in mining pit, and forecasted the disasterous discharge of water by grey disaster theory. The precision of prediction is rather high, and the conclusion satisfies with practical request. An effective method is provided for the prevention and control inrush water of mining.