中国沿海海事高风险水域辨识及评价

Coastal maritime high-risk identification and evaluation of China

为评价中国沿海水上交通系统安全状况,辨识高风险水域,采用事故绝对指标和相对指标,通过标准化计算处理,建立水上交通安全综合指数模型.对近5年沿海海事辖区水域水上交通安全指标进行计算,获得绝对安全综合指数、相对安全综合指数及安全综合指数数据.对该三类指数值的综合分析评分认为,高风险水域为海、河交汇海事辖区水域,较高风险水域为海峡型水域.该结论可为加强重点水域海事监管及为"十二五"期间的海事、救助规划提供决策依据.

To evaluate the water safety conditions of the coastal maritime system and identify the high-risk water area,the absolute index and relative index were used and standardized,and the comprehensive maritime safety index model was established.The absolute safety index,relative safety index and comprehensive safety index were obtained and analyzed by calculating the maritime accidents data in the past five years.Results show that the highest-risk coastal maritime areas are the waters of the intersection of sea and river,and higher-risk coastal maritime areas are the strait waters,which may be the decision-making basis of strengthening monitor and management,and also for maritime and rescue planning during the Twelfth Five Years Plan period.