基于灰色关联理论的中国能源需求影响因素研究

The Study on China's Energy Demand Factors Based on Grey Relational Theory

能源是国民经济的基础产业和战略性资源,是保障和促进经济增长与社会发展的重要物质基础,随着经济的高速发展,我国对能源的需求总量呈现出稳定增长的发展趋势。从我国能源市场的现状出发,从经济学的角度对我国能源需求的主要影响因素进行定性分析,并通过灰色关联理论实证研究能源需求与影响能源需求的主要因素能源价格、经济的增长、人口、产业结构、能源消费结构、消费者的收入水平之间的关系,最后提出切合我国实际的能源发展对策。

Energy is the basic industry of the national economy and strategic resources,it is the important material foundation to protect and promote economic growth and social development.With the rapid economic development,China＇s total demand for energy has shown a steady growth trend.In this paper,from the present situation of China＇s energy market,we qualitatively analysis China＇s Energy Demand＇s main factors from an economic point of view,then,we empirically analysis the relationship of energy demand and its main factors based on grey relational theory,the main factors are energy prices,economic growth,population,industrial structure,energy consumption structure,consumer income level.Lastly,we make suggestions on how to develop China＇s energy practically.