摘要
对已建水库在设计基准期内的最高水位的概率分布进行了研究，提出了年最高水位的极值Ｉ型分布模型，计算了分布参数。
The probability distribution of maximum water level of existing reservoirs in the design reference period,is researched.The extremal type I distribution model of maximum water level is developed,and its distribution parameters are calculated.Futher,the probability of that the maximum water level in design reference period is over the design water level or checking water level,is discussed
关键词
设计基准期
水位
水库
随机变量
概率分布
模型
design reference period
water level
random process
random variables
probability distribution
