河南省农资价格与农民收入的VAR模型分析

Analysis of the Price of Agricultural Means of Production and Rural Residents’ Income in Henan by VAR Model

根据河南省1978～2008年相关数据,建立向量自回归模型来考察农业生产资料价格与农民收入增长之间的动态影响关系。同时运用脉冲响应函数和预测方差分解的方法,对二者的短期和长期影响作了分析,从而为稳定农资价格、加大惠农投入、促进农民增收的宏观政策提供理论依据。

Based on the data of Henan Province from 1978 to 2008, the relationship between the price of agricultural means of production and rural residents’ income by using vector auto-regression model, impulse response function and variance decomposition was analyzed. The result can provide theoretical foundation for policies of increasing rural residents’ income.