浙江省产业结构与经济波动关系研究

Research on Relationship between Industrial Structure and Economic Fluctuation in Zhejiang Province

产业结构与经济波动间存在相互影响的互动关系。以一、二、三产业的划分依据为基础,分析三个产业发展对浙江省经济增长的贡献度。基于地区经济波动周期的分析,定性说明浙江省产业结构变动与当地经济波动间的关系。之后使用VAR模型与脉冲响应函数,进一步定量研究浙江省经济周期波动与产业比重相互间的传导过程和影响程度。

There exists the interactive relation between industrial structure and economic fluctuation.Based on the classification of the first,second and third industrial structure,the thesis analyzes their contribution degree to the growth of economy in Zhejiang.On the basis of analyzing the cycle of regional economic fluctuation,it explains the relationship between industrial structure and economic fluctuation in Zhejiang Province.It also makes use of the VAR model and impulse response function to quantitatively further the study of the conduction process and effect degree.