人民币升值与中国国际贸易顺差的相关性分析

Analyze the Relativity between RMB Appreciation and International Trade Surplus in China

近年来,中国国际贸易呈现出显著的顺差趋势,这引起了国际贸易逆差国对人民币汇率的指责:"人民币汇率低估导致其廉价的出口商品占据他国市场"。事实上,一国的客观经济基础决定了其汇率对国际贸易的影响,而人民币汇率是由客观经济基础自发形成的,不存在任何形式的操纵。选取2005—2009年的宏观经济数据,针对人民币升值与国际贸易顺差的相关性进行了深入分析,并对如何改善国际贸易格局提出了相关的政策性建议。

Recently,international trade surplus have been taken on remarkable trend in China,and this gave rise to condemnations of RMB exchange rate from international trade deficit countries,which Chinese cheap commodities occupied other country’s markets,because RMB has been underrated. Actually,the objective economic foundation of one country determine that exchange rate affect international trade. While RMB exchange rate is formulated by Chinese objective economic foundation,without any kinds of manipulation. The author analyzes deeply the relativity between RMB appreciation and international trade surplus in China with the macro economic data from 2005 to 2009,and mentions relative policy suggestions on how to improve the situation of international trade.w toy e suggestions ta from n RMB appreciation and international trade surplus wiht.