摘要
研究装备备件需求计算方法,为某自行火炮火控系统备件保障提供决策依据。通过研究备件在装备保障中的重要性,分析了影响装备备件需求的因素,讨论了基于贝叶斯的某自行火炮火控系统的备件需求计算法。从而得出了基于贝叶斯的某自行火炮火控系统备件需求预测计算模型。对于随机波动、变化相对稳定的指标,用贝叶斯模型预测是比较精确的,在实际工作中具有可行性。
The calculation of the spare part requirement is examined to provide a decision basis for the spare part support of the fire control system of a self-propelled gun. The importance of spare part to the equipment support is emphasized and the factors affecting the spare part requirement are analyzed. The spare part requirement calculation based on Bayesian for the fire control system is discussed. And a calculation model based on Bayesian for predicting the spare part demand of the fire control system is developed. For random parameters whose changes are relatively stable, the Bayesian model is more accurate and pratical for prediction.
出处
《电子产品可靠性与环境试验》
2010年第3期23-26,共4页
Electronic Product Reliability and Environmental Testing
关键词
火控系统
备件需求
贝叶斯法
fire control system
spare part requirement
Bayesian
