广东省经济增长方式转变的实证研究

An Empirical Study on the Transformation of Economic Growth Mode in Guangdong Province

得益于改革开放的广东省,作为中国经济发展的主要动力之一,一直引领中国经济的发展。这种引领方式究竟是得益于粗放型增长模式还是集约型增长模式?本文将广东改革开放30年分为四个阶段,并将全要素生产率进行分解,运用协整分析和增长核算,结果发现,虽然广东尚处于粗放型增长模式中,但全要素生产率包括质量劳动力增加、产业结构优化、技术进步、出口效应等因素对经济增长的贡献份额逐步加大,使得广东经济呈现向集约型经济增长模式转变的趋势明显,但FDI的结构与质量亟须提高。

Benefiting from the reform and opening up,Guangdong,as one of the main engines for economic growth,has been leading China＇s economic development.Does this leading role benefit from an extensive growth mode or an intensive one？ This essay divides the 30-year reform and opening-up of Guangdong into four stages.Decomposing the TFP and making use of cointegration analysis and growth accounting,it turns out that although Guangdong is still in the extensive growth mode,the rate of contribution to the economic growth of the TFP,including the quality of labor force,optimization of industrial structure,technological progress and export,has increased gradually.This increases the trend of leading Guangdong＇s economy to an intensive mode of economic growth;but it is found that the quality of FDI needs to be improved.