影响当前土地流转与合作经营的几种灰色预期论析

The Analysis of the Pessimistic Expectations of the Current Agricultural Land migration and Coorperation

土地合作是培育农民经合组织重要依托。然而,在当前推进土地流转与合作中却遭遇到了来自转出土地农户方的不合作。这些不合作与这些农户的灰色心理预期有很大关系。这些灰色预期包括由于安于现状的思想观念、害怕沦为基层政府追求地方政绩的牺牲品、顾虑未来生存保障没有着落、对规模经营后土地收益不公平后果与转出土地后产生的"不经济"的可能后果的担忧等原因而产生的一系列灰色预期。要通过发展出真正符合合作社原则与治理机制的农民专业合作组织并给普通农户带来实实在在的实惠来消除他们的这些灰色期望。

It is not good time for China to manage agriculture land with big farms now. There are such reasons as follows ： the Chinese system of manage agriculture is suit to the land now, the desire of the peasants to change the present system of manage the agricultural land is nor strong in most of agri- cultural . provinces; the peasants are depend on agriculture very much and cannot bear to part lands in many rural areas; the difficult that surplus labours to work will become more serious if China manages agriculture land with big farms, because of the world economy is downturn ; It is doubt to manage agri- culture land with big farms increase the peasants incomes in the end and it is stable as an job, the peasants will not take full advantage of the odd resources in rural areas , and there will be many other social problems for the change of the system.