不同代际育龄妇女生育意愿及影响因素研究——以武汉城市圈为例

The Empirical Study on the Pregnancy Intention of Childbearing Age Woman from Different Generation and Its Influencing Factors: Evidence from Wuhan megalopolis

本文使用2009年2月对武汉城市圈内的4424个育龄妇女的抽样调查的数据,重点分析了60年代、70年代、80年代不同代际出生的育龄妇女的生育意愿,并运用logistic回归模型对影响生育意愿的因素进行了研究。结果显示:不同代际的育龄妇女在意愿生育数量、意愿生育性别和时间上存在显著差异。研究表明:传统思想和户口性质一直在影响着妇女的生育意愿,随着时代的进步,教育、职业对妇女生育意愿的影响作用逐渐显著,而父母意愿对妇女生育意愿的影响在逐渐弱化,流动经历和人口政策对妇女意愿生育数量有显著影响。

This article uses the sample survey data of 4424 childbearing age woman in Wuhan megaloPolis, analyses the pregnancy intention of childbearing age women born in different times from 1960s, 1970s and 1980s. And the paper also utilizes logistic regression model to analyze the factors which influences the pregnancy intention. The results indicate that the traditional idea and the nature of household registration system have influences on women＇s pregnancy intention. In addition, education, career and parents＇ wishes have an increasing significant influence on women＇ s pregnancy intention. The author also discovers that migrating experience and population policies have significant influences on women＇s pregnancy intention.