能源消费、二氧化碳排放与经济增长——基于二氧化碳减排成本视角的实证分析

Empirical Evidence of the Relation among Energy Consumption,Carbon Dioxide Emissions and Economic Growth Based on the Abatement Costs

本文基于VAR模型和脉冲响应函数分析方法,通过构建二氧化碳减排成本计算模型,定量分析了总能源消费和四种主要能源消费(煤炭、石油、电力、天然气)对宏观经济变量(产出、投资、就业)的影响。研究结论表明,基于各种主要能源消费的二氧化碳减排成本之间存在的差异性,施行燃料转换政策对于中国是一个很好的减排政策选择。

Based on the VAR model and impulse - response function, this paper constructs the model for computing the abatement costs of carbon dioxide, then estimates the marginal economic impact of the aggregate energy consumption and different energy consumption including coal, petroleum, electricity and gas. Fuel - switching is a good environmental policy capable of reducing carbon dioxide, Since the abatement costs for carbon dioxide from different fossil - fuel con- sumption are different