2[1]Forrester J.Industrial Dynamics.New York:MIT Press,and John Wiley & Sons Inc,1961:21~42
3[2]Sterman J D.Modeling managerial behavior:Misperceptions of feedback in a dynamics decision making experiment.Management Science,1989 (35):321~339
4[3]Hau L Lee,Padmanabhan V,Seungjin Whang.Information distortion in a supply chain:the bullwhip effect.Management Science,1997(43):546~558
5[4]Manuel P Bnganha,Morris A Cohen.The stabilizing effect of inventory in supply chains.Operations Research,1998,46(3):72~83
6[5]Peter kelle,Alistair Milne.The effect of (s,S)ordering policy on the supply chain.Int.J Production Economics,1999(59):113~122
7[6]Frank Chen,Jennifer K Ryan,David Simchi-Levi.The impact of exponential smoothing forecasts on the bullwhip effect.Naval Research Logistics,2000(47):269~286
8[7]Frank Chen,Zvi Drezner,Jennifer K Ryan,et al.Quantifying the bullwhip effect in a simple supply chain:the impact of forecasting,lead time,and information.Management Science,2000,46(3):436~443
9[8]Stalk G,Hout T M.Competing against time:how time-based competition is reshaping global markets.New York:Free Press,1990.43