基于不确定性分析的湘渝货运新航线运价分析

Study on the Freight Rates of the Xiang-yu Cargo Route Based on Uncertainty Analysis

为充分考虑市场的不确定性,基于湘渝货运新航线实际,采用数理统计方法模拟营运参数,进行船舶不确定性经济分析,最终得到必要货运费率的期望值及其概率分布。

In order to fully consider the uncertainty of the market, the method of mathematical statistics was used to simulate the running parameter and perform economic analysis against the uncertainty of the ships based on the practicality of the Xiangyu cargo route. The expected value and probability distribution of RFR were obtained to provide foundation for deciding the freight rates of the Xiang-yu cargo route.